Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 183.710807 219.983359 265.296429 327.522839 413.238833 5.312769e+02 714.333731
2024-12-22 132.325075 170.767969 224.779053 310.523655 452.883159 7.024739e+02 1245.782526
2024-12-29 114.017109 154.864855 217.233562 327.822036 542.560642 1.016808e+03 2554.555329
2025-01-05 96.437035 134.937860 196.707343 314.090467 567.377597 1.232855e+03 4360.991345
2025-01-12 86.471546 124.375422 188.098368 317.717200 629.872648 1.631766e+03 9802.177905
2025-01-19 77.331696 113.415817 176.148128 310.352578 662.539362 2.006809e+03 23298.228873
2025-01-26 74.965221 113.233858 183.287503 345.721497 839.019100 3.479779e+03 992976.777509
2025-02-02 74.655552 116.458152 197.520299 404.092623 1160.797901 8.194104e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 69.122558 109.309168 189.196328 401.561948 1253.199847 1.237231e+04 NaN
2025-02-16 65.152130 104.559451 185.046817 409.358533 1410.271265 2.297826e+04 NaN
2025-02-23 61.913377 100.791687 182.334254 420.655885 1612.679277 5.540343e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 59.167020 97.647533 180.455386 434.185177 1866.376827 2.381075e+05 NaN
2025-03-09 55.541765 92.870606 175.216832 439.628256 2136.287793 4.127524e+07 NaN
2025-03-16 50.755391 85.301747 162.256814 414.036189 2119.245434 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 48.877184 83.506478 163.128615 440.378501 2714.524436 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 45.313665 77.756453 152.985815 419.439803 2730.997611 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 43.149454 74.775679 149.537135 424.952669 3162.969790 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 40.629841 70.778429 142.783540 413.771128 3327.564065 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 40.407128 71.773558 149.640837 467.939928 5272.186433 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 40.876118 74.372005 161.670173 559.867123 11206.503819 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 38.989301 71.330472 156.575840 555.817794 13181.579210 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 37.603560 69.339962 154.363530 568.311372 17825.137945 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 36.424105 67.728889 153.065977 586.510420 26340.051140 NaN NaN